Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.856841e-03 0.002052 0.002248 0.002460 0.002682 0.002907 0.003152
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.533570e-03 0.001813 0.002104 0.002426 0.002773 0.003132 0.003531
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.320548e-03 0.001666 0.002036 0.002457 0.002920 0.003407 0.003958
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.110505e-03 0.001502 0.001935 0.002440 0.003005 0.003611 0.004306
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.683725e-04 0.001401 0.001893 0.002479 0.003147 0.003874 0.004717
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.517272e-04 0.001318 0.001863 0.002526 0.003294 0.004140 0.005129
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.592342e-04 0.001255 0.001850 0.002588 0.003453 0.004417 0.005553
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.228266e-04 0.001123 0.001745 0.002534 0.003475 0.004534 0.005796
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.258672e-04 0.001033 0.001684 0.002526 0.003545 0.004704 0.006094
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.407664e-04 0.000949 0.001624 0.002515 0.003607 0.004862 0.006377
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.101759e-04 0.000940 0.001658 0.002619 0.003805 0.005176 0.006839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.522872e-04 0.000883 0.001626 0.002636 0.003897 0.005365 0.007155
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.516159e-04 0.000760 0.001516 0.002575 0.003924 0.005513 0.007470
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.762812e-04 0.000663 0.001434 0.002548 0.003992 0.005714 0.007851
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.288361e-04 0.000603 0.001402 0.002585 0.004141 0.006013 0.008352
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.112332e-05 0.000526 0.001334 0.002570 0.004223 0.006232 0.008760
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.308277e-05 0.000480 0.001311 0.002613 0.004378 0.006540 0.009275
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.259712e-05 0.000440 0.001294 0.002663 0.004541 0.006859 0.009804
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.880745e-05 0.000410 0.001288 0.002728 0.004722 0.007199 0.010359
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.996523e-06 0.000340 0.001204 0.002673 0.004744 0.007339 0.010672
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.017348e-08 0.000293 0.001155 0.002666 0.004825 0.007552 0.011072
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000250 0.001106 0.002655 0.004899 0.007755 0.011459
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000244 0.001133 0.002761 0.005133 0.008160 0.012091